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|Colts 20||Bills(-6.5) 30||51||BUF(-6.5) Under|
|Rams 14||Seahawks(-3) 23||42||SEA(-3) Under|
|Buccaneers(-9) 23||Football Team 16||44.5||WSH(+9) Under|
|Ravens(-3) 27||Titans 23||54.5||BAL(-3) Under|
|Bears 24||Saints(-10) 27||47||CHI(+10) Over|
|Browns 17||Steelers(-6) 31||47.5||PIT(-6) Over|
|Last week||Straight: 9-7||Spread: 6-9-1||O/U: 11-5|
|Overall:||Straight: 162-93-1||Spread: 114-133-9||O/U: 133-117-6|
Best Bets of Wild Card Weekend
Best bet record 22-27-2
I did not end the NFL regular season liked I had hoped. A 1-2 record on our week 17 best bets puts us to 22-27-2 for the regular season. The Panthers completely failed to show up and to make it worse had 3 red zone turnovers. The Ravens of course came through which puts them at 4-0 this year when they are on my best bets list. PJ’s Guarantee ended up over .500 going 9-8 but on Sunday took an L because Kyler Murray got hurt and his back up threw a pick six on his only good drive of the game. Of course I have to give you my 3 favorite plays for the playoffs each week. Gotta get that record over .500. Here are my 3 best bets for Wild Card Weekend.
1) Seattle Seahawks(-3) vs Los Angeles Rams
The line to move is moving in the wrong direction. Seattle was once favored by 4.5 points and now it is down to 3 and it seems like the public is all over this Los Angeles Rams team. I just can’t understand why. The Rams finished the season 3-3 and haven’t scored over 20 points in their last 3 games. Seattle on the other hand is getting hot at the right time as they have won their last 4 games and even defeated the Rams 2 weeks ago 20-9. That game was with a healthy Jared Goff. This time around it won’t be the same. Goff suffered a broken bone in his throwing hand and hand to have surgery for his broken thumb. Even if he somehow plays I just don’t see how effective the Ram,s are going to be throwing the football. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Seattle. The home team is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. I’ll take the better QB, coach at home on such a short line all day. No one better in primetime then Russell Wilson. Seahawks 23 Rams 14
2) Pittsburgh Steelers(-6) vs Cleveland Browns
This is one of those games where I hope I am wrong. The Browns finally make the playoffs for the first time since 2002 where they actually lost to the Steelers in the Wild card round. They will not have their HC and play caller Kevin Stefanski with them on the sidelines as he has contracted Covid 19. Actually, do to this recent outbreak within the organization they have only practiced for the first time on Friday. Offensive Coordinator Alex Van Pelt will take over as the primary play caller. The Browns of course just beat the Steelers 24-22 last week and that was with Mason Rudolph starting and many starters not playing. The Browns are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games versus the AFC and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 versus the AFC and 14-5-3 ATS in their last 22 games in January. While the Steelers have a good history in the playoffs the Browns do not and I don’t see it starting on Sunday. Steelers 31 Browns 17
3) Chicago Bears +10 @ New Orleans Saints (PJ’s Guarantee)
Something about Drew Brees and the playoffs in recent memory have just not paired well as of late. Last year they were 6.5 point favorites vs the Vikings at home and ended up losing the game outright. The year before they didn’t cover vs the Eagles and the Rams, both at home. While you could argue that the Saints have had some bad luck the truth is they haven’t covered in the last 4 playoff games they have played in. I expect the same result on Sunday. The Bears since Trubisky has taken back over the starting job have scored 30+ points in 3 out of the 4 games and still sport a top 10 defensive unit in the NFL. The Saints should get Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas back but I’m not sure either will be 100% healthy. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. While the numbers don’t support either team in this scenario I will take the Bears on such a big line especially since the Saints have struggled in the postseason in recent memory. Saints 30 Bears 23