PJ’s Picks- NFL Week 12

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AwayHomeO/UPrediction
Texans(-3) 28Lions 3053DET(+3) Over
Football Team 21Cowboys(-3) 2646DAL(-3) Over
Panthers 30Vikings(-3) 2750CAR(+3) Over
Raiders(-3) 31Falcons 2753.5LV(-3) Over
Chargers 27Bills(-4.5) 3452BUF(-4.5) Over
Dolphins(-7) 27Jets 1744.5MIA(-7) Under
Browns(-7) 26Jaguars 1646.5CLE(-7) Under
Titans 26Colts(-3) 3151.5IND(-3) Over
Giants(-6) 27Bengals 1644.5NYG(-6) Under
Cardinals(-2) 24Patriots 2649NE(+2) Over
Saints(-14.5) 30Broncos 1036.5NO(-14.5) Over
49ers 17Rams(-5.5) 2844.5LAR(-5.5) Over
Chiefs(-3) 35Buccaneers 2856.5KC(-3) Over
Bears 17Packers(-7.5) 2644GB(-7.5) Under
Seahawks(-5.5) 27Eagles 2046.5SEA(-5.5) Under
Ravens 16Steelers(-10) 2742PIT(-10) Under
Last week:Straight: 6-7Spread: 5-9O/U: 9-5
Overall:Straight: 100-60Spread:66-90-5O/U:79-79-3

Best Bets of Week 12

Best bet record 14-18-1

After such a great week last week we drop the ball in week 11 going 0-3. Even the Dolphins failed me and when America’s team fails me the rest of the board had 0 chance. Nothing else to say, we got to just move on to this weeks best plays.

1) Chiefs(-3) @ Buccaneers

This is a game everyone is going to have their eyes on. Patrick Mahomes vs Tom Brady. While Brady is a career 2-1 vs Mahomes I sense this one might go in Mahomes favor. The Buccaneers are a good football team but against elite competition they have struggled. The Chiefs of course are as elite as it gets. While the Bucs do have the best run defense in the NFL, they do give up around 237 yds/game in the air which the Chiefs actually have the edge in with 221 yds/game on the defensive side of the ball. The Buccaneers couldn’t stop Jared Goff and his weapons not sure how they are going to stop Mahomes and is arsenal of weapons. The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five after a straight-up loss and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 home games and 2-7-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. The Chiefs have risen to every occasion this year going into Buffalo and Baltimore and coming out with victories straight up and ATS I expect nothing different on Sunday Chiefs 35 Buccaneers 28

2) Rams(-5.5) vs 49ers

Slowly, Sean Mcvay’s team has become one of the most if not the most complete team in football. They are number 1 in the NFL in yds/game at 291. 2nd in passing yards a game at just over 200 and top 5 in rushing with 91.3 a game. On offense they rank 6th in yards/game with 393. They can beat you with the run like they did in the beginning of the year or with the pass like last week in Tampa. Yes, I know San Francisco won the 1st matchup of the season but a lot has changed since then. The 49ers have no Jimmy G and Kittle this time and I think the Rams were still finding themselves on defense when they first met. San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 division games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The NFC West is up for grabs so I have no reason to believe the Rams will have a off day vs an inferior opponent. Rams 28 49ers 17

3) Giants(-6) @ Bengals (PJ’s Guarantee)

I can’t believe I am saying this. The New York Giants are my favorite to win the NFC Least I mean East. The Giants might be one of the best 3-7 footballs teams I have ever seen. 5 of their 7 losses this year have been 1 possession games. You could easily make the argument this team could be 6-5. The Bengals obviously don’t have Joe Burrow as he is out for the year and they also don’t have Joe Mixon. This Giants defense has been better than people think as they haven’t allowed over 25pts since week 5. New York is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bengals have been really good ATS this year but that was all with Joe Burrow. Looks like Brandon Allen will be getting the start on Sunday. in 3 starts last season with the Denver Broncos he went 1-2 with a 515 yds 46.4 completion %, QB rating of 68.3 and a QBR of 40.1. The Giants now have the better offense, defense and coach in this game. Daniel Jones get his first win outside the NFC East Giants 27 Bengals 16

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PJ is 6-5 on guarantees this season

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