PJ’s Picks- Thanksgiving Edition

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If 2020 couldn’t get any worse it had to take away 1 of our 3 Thanksgiving games in the Ravens and Steelers has been postponed. Usually, I give you guys my 3 best bets for the week. This is week I will just be breaking down my picks for these 2 games so lets get to it.

1) Lions(+3) vs Texans

The Lions did make an appearance on best bets last week and how did they reward me? by getting shut out by the Panthers 20-0. The Lions and Thanksgiving football just go together. this will be the 81st game that the Lions have played on turkey day and quite frankly this game is very important to them. Stafford is a bit banged up and Kenny Golladay is out with an hip injury. I’m banking on RB Deandre Swift coming back and if he does it opens up the offense for the Lions. The Texans have one road win this year and it was vs the Jaguars and they didn’t even cover. The Texans haven’t won back-to-back games since December. Both teams are horrible on defense. Houston allows 27.2ppg and Detroit allows 28.7ppg. The Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 road games. The over is 10-1 in Lions last 11 home games. As a betting man take the over but of course I have to side with a team and I’ll go with Thanksgiving team the Detroit Lions 30 Houston Texans 28

2) Cowboys(-3) vs Redskins

Listen, don’t get me wrong. While both these teams are in the bottom five in almost all offensive statistics. The Football Team are a much better defensive team then the cowboys and usually that would be enough for me to side with the road team. Not today. The Cowboys to me looked to have turned the corner. I usually fall back on statistics to back my picks but all stats point to the Football team winning this one. Washington is 5-1 ATS last 6 in Week 12. The underdog is 28-13 ATS last 41 in this series. Plus, Washington is 9-4 ATS last 13 in Dallas. Dallas found something in that Vikings game and and the stories I heard about Mike Mccarthy smashing watermelons in front of the team makes me think he has regained the locker room. This is pick is just a gut feeling I’ll take the Cowboys 26 Redskins 21

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