PJ’s Picks- NFL Week 9

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AwayHomeO/UPredictions
Packers(-5.5) 2749ers 1750GB(-5.5) Under
Broncos 28Falcons(-4) 2750DEN(+4) Over
Bears 23Titans(-5.5) 2746.5CHI(+5.5.) Over
Ravens(-2) 24Colts 2145BAL(-2) Over
Giants 17Football Team(-2.5) 2141WSH(-2.5) Under
Lions 16Vikings(-4) 3053MIN(-4) Under
Texans(-6.5) 30Jaguars 1951HOU(-6.5) Under
Seahawks(-2.5 )31Bills 2854SEA(-2.5) Over
Panthers 24Chiefs(-10.5) 3552.5KC(-10.5) Over
Steelers(-12.5) 30Cowboys 1042PIT(-12.5) Under
Raiders 27Chargers(-1) 3053LAC(-1) Over
Dolphins 20Cardinals(-4.5) 2448MIA(+4.5) Under
Saints 27Buccaneers(-5.5) 3051.5NO(+5.5) Over
Patriots(-7) 24Jets 1642.5NE(-7) Under
Last weekStraight: 8-6Spread: 6-8O/U: 6-8
Overall:Straight: 75-44Spread:49-66-4O/U:57-59-3

Best Bets of Week 9

Best bet record 12-12

We are sadly back to .500 after another week of going 1-2. This just defines everyone betting history, some weeks are great and some week are awful. Regardless we move on. The Browns play was a error on not knowing the weather. I truly believe that is the biggest reason the Browns didn’t win or even make that game more competitive. The Eagles who looked awful were lucky to face a worse team and came away with the late cover. PJ’s guarantee misses for the first time in 6 weeks as Lamar Jackson gave away the streak with a game the Ravens should’ve won with ease. Once again, we move to this week’s best bets.

1) Broncos(+4) @ Falcons

Just like the Dolphins I have loved this Denver Broncos team since day 1. I truly thought they could make a run at the playoffs with their young core. This game will prove that. The Falcons actually looked good in a game most thought they would lose at Carolina winning 25-17. Are we going to trust the Falcons to cover two straight games? No! Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. While Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Denver is a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road. One team prefect ATS on the road and one is the opposite at home. I’ll side with the numbers. Broncos 28 Falcons 27

2) Texans(-6.5) @ Jaguars

I will be the first to say, I am not a fan of this Houston Texans team. Sometimes in the betting world you have to lay the points on teams or games you don’t like and this is one of them. The Texans defense is awful. Yet, this will be there best chance to actually look decent. Gardener Minshew is out and Jake Luton is making his first career start. JJ Watt is licking his chops right now and I expect him to make an huge impact in this game. Also lets not act like the Jaguars defense is good. Their defense is 31st in total yards, 28th in passing yards, 28th in rushing yards and 31st in points allowed. The Texans are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. The Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Jacksonville and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 6.5 is an awkward line but I think they cover easily Texans 30 Jaguars 19

3) Steelers (-12.5) @ Cowboys (PJ’s Guarantee)

Well, it had to happen eventually. The Ravens didn’t cover and our 5 week streak of hitting our guarantees has snapped. Lets start another starting on Sunday. This has to be a must throw. The Cowboys are garbage. They are now 0-8 ATS this season. That is worse than the defeated Jets who at least covered 1 game. They Cowboys are now going to be on their 4th QB either starting Garrett Gilbert or Practice squad player Cooper Rush. I mean does anyone believe the Cowboys can reach double digits against this suffocating Steeler’s defense? The Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after an ATS win and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.  The Cowboys are the new Jets. Throw against them till they prove they can cover. Steelers 30 Cowboys 10

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PJ is 5-3 on guarantees this season

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