It’s Saturday, and that means another UFC fight card is on ESPN. The fights are coming to you live from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV. The prelim card will begin at 6pm. The feature bout on the prelim card is a lightweight battle between Luis Pena and Khama Worthy. The main card gets underway at 8pm. The main event of the evening has a battle of top 5 lightweights seeking a future title opportunity, (3) Dustin Poirier vs. (5) Dan Hooker. Let’s examine the fight card! I’ll include predictions for tonight’s event as well as odds for each fight, brought to you by PointsBet.
Main Card (8PM, ESPN)
“The Diamond” Dustin Poirier vs. “The Hangman” Dan Hooker
Odds: Poirier (-230) Hooker (+180)
The main event features a pair of Top 5 lightweights hoping to earn a title opportunity after a win tonight. “The Diamond” has experienced some highs and lows in his last few fights. The glory of overcoming the odds and defeating Max Holloway for the interim lightweight title was the highest of highs. Then, he encountered a man named Khabib, maybe the top fighter in the world, and experienced the lowest of lows after suffering defeat. Now, after an extended layoff recovering from injury, Dustin Poirier is ready to step back in the octagon and earn another shot at the belt.
The man standing across the octagon is expecting to continue his meteoric rise to the top. Dan Hooker is firing on all cylinders! Hooker is 7-1 as a lightweight. He’s currently on a 3 fight win streak. 17 of his wins have come via stoppage. “The Hangman” has notable victories over Paul Felder, Gilbert Burns, and Jim Miller. Hooker is ready to show he’s the truth. However, one man doesn’t believe the hype. Current interim champ Justin Gaethje weighed in his thoughts on tonight’s fight.
Another fighter just has the upmost confidence in Poirier.
Hooker has just as good a chance of being victorious tonight as Poirier. Both fighters have over 50% of their fights ending in a knockout. Both fighters will stand up and throw hands all fight. One punch and it could be lights out for either competitor. Don’t turn your head for one second during this fight, or you might miss knockout of the night!
|25-6-0 (1 NC)||RECORD||21-8-0|
|(L) K. Nurmagomedov||LAST FIGHT||(W) Felder|
Prediction: Poirier via KO, 3rd Round
“Platinum” Mike Perry vs. Mickey Gall
Odds: Perry (-350) Gall (+260)
The co-main event of the evening features 2 welterweights looking to make some noise in the division. Mike Perry is reaching to drastic measures to shake his 2 fight losing streak. He’s ditched the traditional training system, and now is being trained by his Girlfriend / manager Latory Gonzalez. This has raised eyebrows in the MMA community, including Daniel Cormier. Here’s Mike explaining his reasoning for the change, and Cormier offering his 2 cents.
Mickey Gall enters the octagon with a 5-2 record in the UFC. Gall hails from the Gracie NJ academy, and is a black belt in BJJ. Mickey wins 83% of his fights via submission. All stoppages in his professional career have come by way of submission. Gall is ready to step in the octagon for the classic Striker vs. grappler battle.
“I got respect for him, I respect his power, I respect that he’s gonna come to fight. I do think he’s a real fighter, but I’m more of a martial artist. I’m levels above him, and if he spends 15 minutes in that little cage with me, I’m gonna find a way to take him out.”
Will the unconventional wisdom of Mike Perry changing coaches to his girlfriend lead him to victory? Will the corner be a success for Perry, or fail miserably? Can Mickey Gall avoid the knockout blow, and control Perry on the ground? This will be an interesting chess match, and looking forward to the co-main event tonight.
|(L) Geoff Neal||LAST FIGHT||(W) Touahri|
Prediction: Gall via submission, 2nd Round
Gian Villante vs. “The Crochet Boss” Maurice Greene
Odds: Greene (-270) Villante (+205)
Gian Villante makes his debut in the heavyweight division tonight when stepping into the octagon against Maurice Greene. Villante is attempting to rebound from a loss against Michal Oleksiejczuk in which a punch to the body forced Villante to stop the bout. Perhaps a change of scenery will be good for Villante as he’s suffered defeat in 4 of his last 6 fights.
Maurice Greene is across the cage, and hoping to snap a 2 fight losing skid. “The Crochet Boss” is a former member of The Ultimate Fighter 28 cast where he lost in the semifinals of the show. Since then, he’s compiled a 2-2 record in the UFC. Maurice Greene plans to welcome Villante into the heavyweight division with another defeat at the hands of the Crochet Boss.
Can Gian Villante’s power translate to the heavyweight division? It’ll certainly have to if he wants to achieve success. Villante wins 59% of fights via KO. Maurice Greene will attempt to avoid the big blow, and get Villante to the ground for submission where he finishes 50% of his opponents. Villante does provide a 83% takedown defense efficiency, so it’ll be exciting to watch the 2 heavyweights go to the battle in the octagon.
|(L) Oleksiejczuk||LAST FIGHT||(L) Oleinik|
Prediction: Greene via Unanimous Decision
“All In” Brendan Allen vs. Kyle Daukaus
Odds: Allen (-325) Daukaus (+240)
Brendan Allen is “All In” tonight as he faces the CFFC Middleweight champion after Ian Heinisch was forced to withdraw due to injury. Now, Kyle Daukaus enters the octagon on short notice hoping to shock the UFC world in defeating one of the top newcomers in the UFC middleweight division. Daukaus, a Philly native, is ready to make the jump to the UFC and shock the world against one of the top newcomers to the Middleweight division.
Both fighters have a lot in common. They are both former participants on Dana White’s contender series. Both participants won their bout, but Allen earned a contract, and Daukaus wasn’t offered a UFC contract. This fight will be a true grappling battle. The undefeated Philly native has won 8 of 9 wins by submission. The submission of choice for Kyle is the D’Arce choke. Allen likes to finish his opponents with the rear naked choke.
This is a fight I’m very much looking forward to on the main card. There’s a lot on the line. A win for Brendan Allen could launch him into the top 10. Kyle Daukaus is looking to make a lasting impression with Dana White. Who takes it? The battle of the submission. Rear naked choke vs. D’Arce choke. You’ll have to tune in and find out!
|(W) Tom Breese||LAST FIGHT||(W) Nolan Norwood|
Prediction: Going full homer here. (Daukaus pulls off the upset via Submission, 3rd Round)
“Monstro” Philpe Lins vs. “The Bulldozer” Tanner Boser
Odds: Boser (-110) Lins (-115)
Philipe Lins returns to the octagon in a quick turn around since suffering a close defeat to Andrei Arlovski. The fight could’ve went either way, but Lins ultimately lost on the judge’s scorecards. Prior to that defeat, “Monstro” had reeled off 4 straight victories before debuting in the UFC. While Philipe has 8 wins via knockout, he’s actually a very good wrestler. That’s where he hopes for the fight to be on Saturday. The goal is to be on the ground with the bulldozer.
Tanner Boser enters the cage with a 1-1 record in the UFC. “The Bulldozer” hopes to rebound after a unanimous decision loss to Ciryl Gane. Boser is an excellent striker, and also has 8 victories by way of knockout.
This match-up is very even on paper. Both fighters love to let their hands fly and make their opponents go to dreamland. 16 knockouts between the both of them is a lot! While they both could stand up and trade shots blow for blow, I can also see a true grappler vs. striker matchup.
|(L) Arlovski||LAST FIGHT||(L) Gane|
Prediction: Lins via Split Decision
150lb Catchweight Bout
“The Sniper” Sean Woodson vs. “Juicy J” Julian Erosa
Odds: Woodson (-550) Erosa (+380)
Julian Erosa steps in on short notice to face the undefeated Sean Woodson. Erosa will be making his 3rd attempt at stability within the UFC. Erosa has struggled mightily since his appearance on The Ultimate Fighter show with a 1-4 record, and his last win coming back in 2015.
Sean Woodson was originally supposed to face Kyle Nelson, but was forced to withdraw due to visa issues. Woodson enters the octagon with an unblemished record. The tallest featherweight in the division earned a UFC contract through Dana White’s contender series. The momentum of Woodson may be too much to overcome for Erosa in his return to the UFC.
|(W) Bochniak||LAST FIGHT||(W) Bryant|
Prediction: Woodson via KO, 1st Round
Prelims (6pm ESPN)
Lightweight Bout: Luis Pena vs. Khama Worthy
- Odds: Pena (-270) Worthy (+205)
This could be a potential Fight of the Night nominee!
Prediction: Pena via Submission, 3rd Round
Welterweight Bout: Takashi Sato vs. Jason Witt
- Odds: Sato (-270) Witt (+205)
Jason Witt steps in on short notice replacing Ramiz Brahimaj (Cornerman tested positive for COVID-19).
Prediction: Sato via Split Decision
Women’s Strawweight Bout: Kay Hansen vs. Jinh Yu Frey
- Odds: Hansen (-190) Frey (+150)
Both women are making their UFC debut coming over from Invicta FC.
Prediction: Hansen via Submission, 2nd Round
Featherweight Bout: Jordan Griffin vs. Yousef Zalal
- Odds: Zalal (-140) Griffin (+112)
Both fighters finish 50% of their opponents via submission.